Tuesday, December 30, 2008

The Forex Market and the Employment Cost Index


Fundamental analysis, or the analysis of the market based upon economic indicators,


is a huge part of developing Forex market strategies. Most online Forex trading system platforms provide data on economic indicators through their online Forex journals, which are often offered free of charge. One of the more important economic indicators around is the Economic Cost Index (ECI), a major player that shapes and defines Forex market strategies.
What exactly does the Employment Cost Index (ECI) measure?
The Employment Cost Index basically measures the cost of doing business. It measures monthly changes in such crucial variables as employee's wages, employment benefits, and job bonuses. The ECI is so important that it even helps define monetary decisions and policies of the Federal Reserve.

Tie in with inflation

Comparing the inflation rate to changes in monthly employee wages is crucial in accessing whether or not wages are keeping up with current price levels. For instance, if the current inflation rate is 3% per year, and employee wages are increasing at a rate of 2% per year, then even though wages are increasing overall, they're actually decreasing when compared to actual living expenses. That could negatively affect the economy (i.e. less consumer spending), and in the long run, affect a country's currency exchange rate. On the other hand, if wages are increasing at a rate of 3% per year, along with healthy increases in employment benefits and job related bonuses (overall compensation package), and inflation is only at 2% per year, then the overall economy will benefit, as will the nation's currency rate.


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