Forex trading rules for beginers III

Mistakes are unavoidable, but learn from mistakes and do not repeat it

Mistakes are unavoidable, please do not blame yourself, the important thing is to learn from mistakes, avoid making the similar mistake again, the faster you learn to accept loss and remembers the lesson, the days of profit making will be much more closer. Moreover, must learn to control emotion do not be proud after making profit, also do not feel depress after losing money. During Forex trading, the lesser the emotion, the more clearer you can see the market and make the right decision. Forex traders must face the reality calmly, Forex traders must understand that they will not learn from profit taking but they will only learn from loss. After understanding the reason behind every loss, this means that you are approaching the profit making path, because you had found the correct direction.

Oneself is the biggest enemy
The biggest enemy of a Forex trader is oneself - greedy, irritable, the out of control mood, and so on, is very easy to let you neglect the market trend which causes the wrong trading decision. Do not do trading because of bored or it has been a long time of none trading, there is no specific rule saying that a Forex trader must do how many tradings within a period of time.

Record the trading details
Record all the trading details, whether there is certain news or other reasons that influence you to trade, after the trade record and analyze the result of the profit and loss. If the result of the trading is profitable, this indicates that your analysis is correctly, when such similar situation appear again, your trading records will be helpful for you to rapidly makes the correct trading decision; wherelse the loss trading record will help you from making the same mistake again. Forex traders could not remember the history of every trading, therefore record is helpful in enhancing your Forex trading skill and also to look for mistakes.

Follow the trend, never against the trend
Remember the Forex market ancient general rule: Settle the position when it starts to loss, put as long as possible when it is profit making. Another important rules is do not let loss happen when it is making profit, when there is reverse trend in the market, it is better to make profit during the profit making situation then to settle position at the non-profitable situation.

Do not eagerly enter the Forex market after making loss

During the loss situation, do not eagerly open a new reverse market position in order to recoup from loss, this will only cause the situation to become worse. Only when you have agreed that your anticipation and decision in the past was completely wrong, then only you settle the old position and start a new reverse market position. Do not play with the Forex market through guessing, it is better to loss the opportunity then losing money.

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What Is Your Rate As A Trader?

The purpose here is to simply raise your awareness,

so that you can take action to improve matters if you find that it would turn things in a more desirable direction. Do NOT be offended - that is not the intent!
So the question today is very simple: As a trader, what is your hourly rate of pay? Have you even taken the time to at least get a rough estimate? It's very simple to calculate:
Take the average number of hours per week that you devote to your trading X 4.33. Now take the average net profit for your last 3 months trading. Divide the profit by the hours worked. This is your hourly pay as a trader. So...

What do you think? Is your rate of pay is substantially below where you want it to be?

If so, then perhaps a change of strategy - in how you approach your trading business - might help that tremendously.
Too many people in business pursuits of all sorts, let alone trading, never bother to take a look to see if they are being properly paid for all their efforts.
Often the trouble is the point of focus - spending time, energy and attention on the wrong things - but not that the current matter isn't worthwhile. It is simply the mental approach to the activity as a whole.

Here are a few examples:

One trader I know in Kansas spends an inordinate amount of time trying to tweak his system because he just KNOWS that he can find a way to beat the markets. He spends almost no time focusing on his organization, emotional control (or the sources of his emotions), so when he goes to trade, his execution is dreadful and he doesn't capitalize on his system efforts.
Another trader in Quebec reads probably 3 books a week, but doesn't apply what he learns from the books. He is making the mistake of thinking that knowledge is the answer in and of itself. Knowledge put into action is power.
In New Zealand, we've got one guy that has run his trading into the ground and is about to ruin his life. He has lost his life savings and has been trading on his credit cards trying to make it all back, sure that he's "this close". And he hasn't even told his wife about it. Nor is he even considering stopping. He just keeps trading away, thinking that staying active is the answer.
Okay that last one is a doosie, but the point is that these people are very busy investing their time but at less than minimum-wage. When these people looked at their hourly pay as a trader, it was a major wake-up call for them.
Most people get into trading to find FREEDOM and a better living, not working for less than their day jobs.
This is but one of the many aspects of trading that is worthwhile to explore and act upon. If your pay as a trader is lower than you'd like, that doesn't mean that it is necessarily bad.
A brand new trader isn't likely to have a high hourly rate. They are still learning the ropes.
For someone that has been trading for more than a year, however, the rate of pay should be at an acceptable level. If it isn't, then perhaps the approach to the business of trading is what needs to be attended to.
As with any true profession, education is critical to success. Make sure that you educate yourself and apply what you learn.

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The Advantages of Trading Alone

People sometimes experiment with the idea to trade with other people.

It might work, but for me, it did not. I trade alone. The advantages of trading alone are:
You are free to make your own decisions without having to find a way to explain the rationale of your decisions to anybody else. Your time and effort can be focussed on what the market is doing and how you react to it, instead of worrying about the psychological and emotional dynamics of a trading group.

You are free to experiment, based on the knowledge you gain from your experiences and your self-education, without having to asking others to allocate a certain portion of the trading funds to let you conduct your experiments.
No one can blame you for their failures. No time is wasted on justifying your actions or feeling guilty about the impact of your trading blunders on someone else's financial situation.
You alone are responsible and accountable for your own success or failure. You cannot shift the blame to anybody else. It could be disappointing to some knowing that they cannot blame anyone else if they fail.

For others, it is very empowering to know that they, and they alone, are in charge of their own destiny.


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Summary of Findings

Serial correlations in most markets is small. While there may be statistical
significance associated with these correlations, it is unlikely that there is enough correlation to generate excess returns.
􀁑 The serial correlation in short period returns is also affected by price measurement issues and the market micro-structure characteristics.
􀁑 Non-trading in some of the components of the index can create a carry-over effect from the prior time period, this can result in positive serial correlation in the index returns.
􀁑 The bid-ask spread creates a bias in the opposite direction, if transactions prices are used to compute returns, since prices have a equal chance of ending up at the bid or the priask ce. The bounce that this induces in prices will result in negative serial correlations in returns.
Bid-Ask Spread = -√2 (Serial Covariance in returns)
where the serial covariance in returns measures the covariance between return changes in consecutive time periods

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